Enter your income and withholding above to estimate your refund.
How Your Tax Refund is Calculated
Your 2026 refund is the federal tax withheld from your pay minus your total tax after credits. A single filer earning $75,000 owes $7,670 after the $16,100 standard deduction, so $8,500 withheld means a refund of about $830. Enter your income, withholding, deductions and credits above to estimate yours.
Your federal tax refund (or amount owed) is the difference between your actual tax liability and the amount withheld from your paychecks during the year. If your employer withheld more than you owe, you get a refund. If less was withheld, you owe the difference when you file.
The calculation follows this sequence: Gross Income minus Adjustments equals AGI. AGI minus your Deduction (standard or itemized) equals Taxable Income. Apply the tax brackets to Taxable Income to get your gross tax. Subtract any credits. Compare to what was withheld.
2026 Key Numbers at a Glance
Standard Deductions 2026
Tax Brackets 2026 (Single)
Child Tax Credit
401(k) & IRA Limits 2026
Refund Examples for Tax Year 2026
Standard deduction, wages only, Child Tax Credit of $2,200 per child under 17. Returns filed in 2027.
| Household | Tax before credits | Credits | Withheld | Refund |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single, $50,000 | $3,820 | $0 | $4,500 | $680 |
| Single, $75,000 | $7,670 | $0 | $8,500 | $830 |
| Single, $100,000, $10,000 to 401(k) | $10,970 | $0 | $11,000 | $30 |
| Head of household, $60,000, 1 child | $3,948 | $2,200 | $3,000 | $1,252 |
| Married jointly, $120,000, 2 children | $10,040 | $4,400 | $7,000 | $1,360 |
| Married jointly, $40,000, 2 children | $780 | $780 plus $3,400 refundable | $1,000 | $4,400 |
The last row shows why low-income families often get large refunds: the couple owes only $780, but the unused Child Tax Credit comes back as a refundable credit of up to $1,700 per child. The Earned Income Tax Credit, up to $7,316 with two children in 2026, can add more; enter it under other credits only if you are sure of the amount, as the estimator treats that field as nonrefundable.
What Changed for 2026 Returns
- Standard deduction: $16,100 single, $32,200 married filing jointly, $24,150 head of household.
- Child Tax Credit: $2,200 per child, up to $1,700 of it refundable.
- New deductions for 2025 to 2028: up to $25,000 of qualified tips, up to $12,500 of overtime premium ($25,000 joint), $6,000 per person 65 or older, and up to $10,000 of interest on a new US-assembled car loan. They are claimed on Schedule 1-A whether or not you itemize, and phase out at higher incomes.
- SALT cap: $40,400 for itemizers, reduced once modified AGI passes $505,000.
Your employer does not subtract the tips, overtime, senior or car loan deductions during the year unless you enter them on your W-4, so for many workers they show up as a larger refund. The estimator has no separate field for them. For a rough figure, add the amount to the HSA / IRA field, since the tax effect is the same.
Average Refund in the 2026 Filing Season
| Through early May | 2026 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|
| Average refund | $3,276 | $2,939 |
| Refunds issued | 99.1 million | 93.6 million |
| Total refunded | $324.8 billion | $275.0 billion |
Figures are IRS filing season statistics for the weeks ending May 8, 2026 and the comparable week of 2025. These returns covered tax year 2025, the first year with the new tips, overtime, senior and car loan deductions.
Why Your Refund Changes Year to Year
- Two jobs or two earners: each employer withholds as if its job were your only income, which often turns a refund into a bill. The W-4 calculator shows how to fix it.
- Side income: freelance or gig income has no withholding, and it also owes self-employment tax, which this estimator does not include.
- Bonuses: withheld at a flat 22%, which is too much in the 10% and 12% brackets and too little from 24% up.
- A child turning 17: the $2,200 Child Tax Credit drops to the $500 credit for other dependents.